夏の北極圏、2030年代に海氷消失か 新研究が警告

Arctic summer sea ice may disappear in the 2030s, new research warns

Arctic summer sea ice may disappear in the 2030s, new research warns
夏の北極圏から海氷が消えるようになる状況が、従来の予測よりも約10年早く実現する可能性がある

The disappearance of sea ice from the Arctic in summer could come about a decade earlier than previously predicted.

The disappearance of sea ice from the Arctic in summer could come about a decade earlier than previously predicted.
科学者がそのような警告を発している

Scientists are issuing such warnings

Scientists are issuing such warnings
世界が温室効果ガスを排出し続ける中、気候危機が予想以上の速さで起きていることの明確な兆候が新たに示された形だ

It’s another clear sign that the climate crisis is unfolding faster than expected as the world continues to emit greenhouse gases.

It’s another clear sign that the climate crisis is unfolding faster than expected as the world continues to emit greenhouse gases.
今回の研究は、6日刊行のネイチャー・コミュニケーションズ誌に掲載された

The study was published in the June 6 issue of Nature Communications.

The study was published in the June 6 issue of Nature Communications.
それによると北極圏の海氷は、早ければ2030年代にも9月中は完全に消失する可能性がある

Arctic sea ice could disappear completely during September as early as the 2030s

Arctic sea ice could disappear completely during September as early as the 2030s
仮に世界が現時点で温室効果ガスを大幅に削減したとしても、北極圏の海氷は50年代までには夏の間消失する恐れがあると、科学者らは報告した

Even if the world slashed its greenhouse gas emissions today, Arctic sea ice could disappear over the summer by the 1950s, scientists report.

Even if the world slashed its greenhouse gas emissions today, Arctic sea ice could disappear over the summer by the 1950s, scientists report.
研究では1979年から2019年までの海氷の変化を分析

Study analyzes changes in sea ice from 1979 to 2019

Study analyzes changes in sea ice from 1979 to 2019
異なる衛星データや気候モデルを比較した

Comparing different satellite data and climate models

Comparing different satellite data and climate models
その結果、海氷の減退は大半が人間由来の温暖化に起因することが分かった

They found that most of the decline in sea ice is due to human-induced warming.

They found that most of the decline in sea ice is due to human-induced warming.
また以前の気候モデルでは、北極圏の海氷の融解傾向を過小評価していたという

Previous climate models also underestimated the melting trend of Arctic sea ice.

Previous climate models also underestimated the melting trend of Arctic sea ice.
北極圏の海氷は冬の間形成され、夏に融解する

Arctic sea ice forms in winter and melts in summer

Arctic sea ice forms in winter and melts in summer
通常海氷が最も少ない水準に達するのは9月で、その後はまた形成と融解を繰り返す

Sea ice typically reaches its lowest level in September, then repeats formation and melting

Sea ice typically reaches its lowest level in September, then repeats formation and melting